14% drop in forecast agricultural added value

The Ministry of Agriculture, Maritime Fisheries, Rural Development and Water and Forests, indicated that the forecast agricultural value added should register a drop of 14%, which would result in a drop in growth points of 1 ,8.

Given the final production of cereals, the performance of arboriculture, market gardening and spring crops, as well as the positive effects of the program to mitigate the effects and the impact of the rainfall deficit, in particular on the livestock, the forecast added value should register a drop of 14%, the ministry said in a press release, noting that the impact of this drop on the overall GDP is -1.8 points.

The 2021/2022 agricultural campaign recorded rainfall which at the end of May 2022 reached 199 mm, down 44% compared to the 30-year average (355 mm) and a drop of 34% compared to the previous campaign ( 303 mm) on the same date, recalls the ministry.

This agricultural campaign was also characterized by a poor temporal distribution of rainfall, with nearly a third of the rainfall occurring during the months of November and December and 53% of the cumulative rainfall occurring in the months of March and April, notes the same source.

The very low rainfall, or even its absence in several regions of the Kingdom during the months of January and February, caused a delay in the growth of cereals and a more or less significant drop in yields depending on the region, explains the press release, noting that cereals in favorable areas behaved relatively better following the rains of the last dekad of February, March and early April.

Thus, the final production of the main cereals for the 2021/2022 agricultural campaign is 34 million quintals, i.e. a drop of 67% compared to the previous campaign which recorded an exceptional performance of 103.2 MQX.


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