The surge in cases does not threaten our health system (Dr. Hamdi)

In Morocco, an outbreak of cases under treatment for Covid-19 has been observed recently. As of Sunday June 5, Morocco is reporting 2,525 active cases nationally, compared to 1,511 cases under treatment a week before (May 29). An increase that will have no impact on our health system, confirms Dr Tayeb Hamdi.

A graph from the Ministry of Health, produced by the Directorate of Epidemiology and Disease Control and the National Center for Public Health Emergency Operations (Nousp-Morocco), shows the evolution of cases since the last week of May and during this first week of June.

Thus, and from May 23 to 29, 2022, most of the Covid-19 positive cases were concentrated in the Casablanca-Settat region at a level “ moderate ”, as shown in the graph of the Ministry of Health on the evaluation of the level of circulation of SARS-CoV-2.

During the following week, from May 30 to June 5, the virus spread a little more in other regions, in particular the regions of Rabat-Salé-Kénitra, Tangier-Téouan-Al Hoceima, Marrakech -Safi, Drâa-Tafilalt and Souss-Massa, but always at a level “moderate“.

Solicited byMoroccoLatestNews UKon this increase in Covid-19 cases, particularly in the Casablanca-Settat region, Dr Tayeb Hamdi, doctor, researcher in health policies and systems, explains to us that the metropolis is home to a large population and experiences daily activity, in plus the relaxation of restrictive measures. “It is therefore completely normal that the cases increase in the metropolis and the region.he says.

The other important factor contributing to this surge in cases is the region’s strong testing capacity.

Casablanca has a huge number of laboratories. Citizens are getting tested a lot, hence the rise in cases at the city level. We can compare the metropolis to other cities, such as Fez and Meknes, which have not experienced an increase in cases throughout this last year, probably due to the lack of laboratory», explains the expert.

We are therefore faced with an increase in cases which is confirmed day by day, specifies Dr. Hamdi, and which will continue, he tells us. “Normal, since there is a relaxation on the part of the population in addition to the summer season which has started (travel, gatherings, festivals, weddings, etc.) and the BA2 variant (more contagious) which has taken over BA1 since almost a week and which has given a boost to the rise in cases”he explains.

Another factor put forward by the expert concerns vaccination. “We have a population that was vaccinated months ago, or that has been infected for months. These two immunities, either post-disease or post-vaccination, decline over the months. This residual immunity can protect us against severe forms of Covid-19, but protects us less and less against infections“says the expert.

All of its indicators provided by Dr. Hamdi confirm that the upward trend in active cases will continue. Now, will this increase threaten our health system?

This is not the case according to Dr. Hamdi. “Of course with this increase in cases, the deaths will increase a little, but not as much as the first and the 2nd wave. This time, there was no significant increase in deaths, thanks to the population immunity that we were able to acquire. But, there will always be among the population of 60 years and over who are not vaccinated, and people with chronic diseases and who are not triple vaccinated, deaths and serious cases, but without threat to the health system.“, he says, “hence the importance of booster vaccination of its vulnerable people“, insists the expert.

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